Where Canadian first-time buyers actually stand in 2026
Saving the down payment is the long part, and it is getting longer. CMHC's 2026 Mortgage Consumer Survey — fielded in January 2026 with more than 4,100 Canadians — found buyers took an average of 4.4 years to save a down payment, up from 3.4 years in 2025, and that first-time buyers rented for 7.6 years on average before purchasing, up from 6.3 yearsCMHC. Family help is common but not universal: 27% of first-time buyers received a gift, down from 34%, with a median gift of $30,000CMHC.
The practical reading of those numbers: the gap between renting and owning is closing more slowly than the price of waiting, and the buyers who close it fastest are the ones using the tax-advantaged accounts from the first year they are eligible rather than the last. That is what the table above is for — and it is why we model the FHSA and HBP sequence at pre-approval, not at closing.

