Why is the 2025–26 renewal wave such a big deal?
The Bank of Canada estimates that about 60% of all outstanding Canadian mortgages renew in 2025 or 2026, and that about 60% of those borrowers face a higher payment5. Many were locked at pandemic-era lows and are renewing into higher rates.
As an illustration, a $500,000 balance with 25 years left moving from 2% to an assumed 4.5% sees its monthly payment rise by about $650, what lenders call “payment shock.” Check today’s rates for current pricing.
You can’t make the rate environment disappear, but you can blunt the impact: start shopping about 120 days early, benchmark against 100+ lenders instead of accepting one letter, and model amortization and product changes before you sign. The clients who get hurt are the ones who do nothing and let the renewal auto-process.
The wave lands hardest in mature markets built on established owners rather than first-time buyers. Burlington is a clear case — a Halton market where empty-nesters tapping equity and families folding high-interest debt into the mortgage make up much of the local file mix, so renewals and refinances dominate the conversation rather than purchases. If that describes your situation, start with the local Burlington mortgage options.
Engage early and the shock becomes a managed adjustment, not an ambush. Model your new payment first.

